Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Frequency Curve Fitting

Author(s): Dawei Han

Pp: 34-43 (10)

DOI: 10.2174/978160805047511101010034

* (Excluding Mailing and Handling)

Abstract

Floods are complex and flood records tend to have errors. The two important points in flood frequency analysis are ‘1) All flood frequency curves are wrong, but some are useful; 2) ‘All data are wrong, but some are useful.’ The uncertainties with the frequency curve fitting can be reduced by various techniques to avoid overfitting and under-fitting.


Keywords: cross validation, over-fitting, under-fitting, expected probability

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