Recent Patents on Engineering

Jianjun Yu  
The School of Information Science and Engineering Fudan University
220 Hantan Rd
Shanghai, 200433


Chinese Grain Production Forecasting Method Based on Particle Swarm Optimization-based Support Vector Machine

Author(s): Sheng-Wei Fei, Yu-Bin Miao and Cheng-Liang Liu

Affiliation: School of Mechanical Engineering, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200240, P.R. China.


Forecasting of grain production is an important resource for establishing agriculture policy. Particle swarm optimization-based support vector machine (PSO-SVM) is applied to forecast grain production in this paper. In PSOSVM model, particle swarm optimization (PSO) is used to determine free parameters of support vector machine. PSO is a new optimization method, which is motivated by social behavior of bird flocking or fish schooling. The optimization method not only has strong global search capability, but also is very easy to implement. The Chinese grain production is used to illustrate the performance of proposed PSO-SVM model. The experimental results indicate that the PSO-SVM method can achieve greater forecasting accuracy than grey model, artificial neural network in Chinese grain production forecasting. Consequently, PSO-SVM is a proper method in Chinese grain production forecasting.

Keywords: Grain production forecasting, support vector machine, particle swarm optimization, time series forecasting, parameters optimization

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Article Details

Page: [8 - 12]
Pages: 5
DOI: 10.2174/187221209787259947