Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Indexed in: Scopus, EBSCO

Floods are devastating natural disasters with a significant impact on human life and the surrounding environent. Flood Risk Assessment and Management should serve as an Ideal textbook on analytical ...
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15

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Relevant Probability Concepts

Pp. 5-14 (10)

Dawei Han

Abstract

Future floods cannot be predicted accurately. With our increased knowledge, epistemic uncertainty on floods can be reduced, but aleatory uncertainty is not reducible. Hence probability theory is the foundation for flood risk assessment and management. Floods can be treated as random variables with certain probability distributions.

Keywords:

probability, epistemic uncertainty, aleatory uncertainty, probability distributions

Affiliation:

Department of Civil Engineering University of Bristol, U.K.